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MIND THE GAP. THEN FOLLOW THE CHECK.

BY AARON NEVINS
10/17/2026
Low-poly PS1-style scene in a civic hall: a bearded man in a navy suit and red tie speaks into a microphone beneath an American flag while a woman in a red blazer looks on.
THE GAP BETWEEN WHAT PEOPLE SAY AND WHAT THEY DO.

MIND THE GAP

I was talking to a Black Democratic lobbyist and political consultant who told me racism is on the ballot in Florida. I thought his theory was pretty compelling.

It started with a simple question: Who's the voter choosing Ashley Moody and David Jolly?

His answer was blunt: That voter will cross party lines before voting for a Black person.

Everyone expects Moody to win. But mind the gap. How far ahead of Donalds does she finish? Where does Jolly pick up votes that Nixon doesn't? Will that number even be significant?

Don't expect the voter he's describing to admit it out loud. Maybe it comes out at the door after a little prodding. Racism isn't fashionable. But in the voting booth, nobody has to explain a damn thing.

We'll spend election night talking about crossover appeal and independent voters. But we ought to have the backbone to talk about racism, too.

His argument is that the returns will tell a story that polling won't. The gap between Moody and Donalds. Between Jolly and Nixon. Between what people say and what they actually do.

County by county. Precinct by precinct.

Mind the gap.

EVERYBODY'S FOR REGIONAL COOPERATION UNTIL THERE'S A CHECK TO CASH

Broward's cities spent years agreeing on a plan for the region's garbage. Now comes the part where we find out how much they meant it.

Alpha 250 is 22 acres of county land in western Pompano Beach that consultants recommended keeping for the new garbage system.

I'm hearing Pompano Beach and Coconut Creek are interested in preserving the property for government use, possibly waste related. But an open market sale could bring more than either city is willing to pay.

If a sale leaves $35 million to distribute, the settlement formula puts Fort Lauderdale's share at about $5.75 million. Hollywood gets nearly $3 million. Davie gets $2.8 million.

Keeping the property public doesn't necessarily mean giving up the money. The settlement allows Broward County to retain the land by paying the net amount a sale to the highest qualified bidder would have produced.

Still, somebody has to write the check and distribute it to the cities. That's 18 boards with somewhere around 90 municipal elected officials, all with their own ideas and priorities about what they need.

Meanwhile, I'm hearing lobbyists, contractors, consultants and community advocates are already looking for partners. And all eyes are already on Pompano, where a bruising municipal election adds another layer of politics. The property sits within its borders, but the city isn't among the municipalities that were part of the old Resource Recovery ILA.

Then there's property tax reform. Even if voters reject Amendment 3, lawmakers could pursue other changes that squeeze local budgets. If that happens, those checks will look even better.

It's easy to agree on a garbage plan for the next 40 years. Let's see how committed everybody is when they need money for next year.

LOADING... ALPHA 250 SAVE FILE

WHO GETS PAID?

Estimated settlement payout by city, using the 2012 tonnage percentages in the 2015 agreement.

CITYPAYOUT
  1. 01 Fort LauderdaleBOSS$5,749,380
  2. 02 Coral Springs$3,155,355
  3. 03 Hollywood$2,994,215
  4. 04 Davie$2,801,750
  5. 05 Miramar$2,400,125
  6. 06 Sunrise$2,347,135
  7. 07 Deerfield Beach$1,906,870
  8. 08 Plantation$1,811,180
  9. 09 Lauderhill$1,399,580
  10. 10 Weston$1,243,970
  11. 11 Oakland Park$1,224,685
  12. 12 Coconut CreekINTERESTED$1,196,545
  13. 13 Margate$1,168,475
  14. 14 Tamarac$1,083,845
  15. 15 North Lauderdale$875,875
  16. 16 Cooper City$785,715
  17. 17 Lauderdale Lakes$707,665
  18. 18 Broward County (unincorporated)$450,485
  19. 19 Wilton Manors$388,255
  20. 20 Southwest Ranches$309,785
  21. 21 Lighthouse Point$290,640
  22. 22 Lauderdale-by-the-Sea$267,680
  23. 23 West Park$212,135
  24. 24 Pembroke Park$157,080
  25. 25 Hillsboro Beach$52,675
  26. 26 Sea Ranch Lakes$18,865
  27. 27 Pompano BeachHOST CITY / NOT IN ILA$0
  28. 28 Lazy Lake$0
TOTAL POT$35,000,000
#1 PAYOUT
TOP 3
TOP 10
$0 / LOCKED OUT

The $35 million scenario assumes proceeds after sale expenses. The $11.5 million scenario applies the same distribution percentages to the reported BCPA property valuation, before expenses. Pompano Beach and Lazy Lake receive $0 under the formula.

Source: 2015 settlement agreement, Exhibit A.

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